2012 Presidential Election Predictions

2012 presidential election psychic predictions

Did President Roosevelt because he was reelected with an unemployment rate above 8 percent. Although it is a dangerous precedent, more and more analysts and politicians of the Democratic Party is now optimistic about the prospects for re-election of President Obama. "Forms of Obama has improved significantly," said the former leader of the Democratic Party, Howard Dean told me recently. "If Mitt Romney is the Republican candidate, I'd say it's 1 or 2 points to Obama's victory."

Dean also like the chances of his party in Congress. "My prediction is so difficult, if Obama wins, Democrats in the House, once again," he said. Other analysts have recently raised the possibility, although the GOP control of redistricting gave Republicans a major advantage of the 2012th

The number of jobs last month, is surprisingly strong, the prospects for Obama's reelection easily grown from a low of 45 percent in October 2011, 60 percent today, Intrade. Four new polls this month showed Obama with a lead of 5 or 6 point lead over Romney, a likely Republican candidate for president. Pew poll released yesterday shows that Obama, Romney 8, its biggest advantage so far. The president's approval, the response rate of 50 percent for the first time in many moons. In a notable change in 2010, Democrats now say they are more enthusiastic about voting than Republicans.

It is too early to tell if this is a blip or a lasting recovery is on its way to the president for reelection. It can be any number of things can go wrong with Obama, unemployment could reach its peak when the economy slows, the debt crisis in Europe could be extended or a new foreign policy crisis with Iran There are currently 2-1 Americans border say the U.S. continues to lead in the wrong direction (even if it is a great improvement since last summer, when less than 14 percent of Americans were optimistic about the prospects of the country). The economy is also less effective in several key states.

Nate Silver projected that the economy created about 150,000 jobs a month to be comfortable for Obama reelection. A recent study by economists at the Philadelphia Fed for an average of 144,000 new jobs per month, this year the unemployment rate was 8.1 percent during the campaign. Obama should drop a favorite small section. "Rising Tide of optimism of consumers is a direct parallel with the upward trend in total employment in the approval rating of Obama," writes analyst Mark Blumenthal on the Huffington Post agree.

Regarding the electoral map, Dean predicted that Barack Obama won 296 votes in 242 constituencies Romney. He believes that the president would have much the states of Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada, and "could have been filmed in Arizona, because the Latino vote." Dean says that Obama "does not lose Pennsylvania and Michigan and North Carolina are likely to lose", where Democrats held their convention this fall, is in Indiana. But the president has all the 270, and now there are different ways to win.

Dean estimates that the Hispanic vote, Obama and the Democrats, the main advantage of an important swing states in the west. "The Latino vote for Obama to crack the big time," he predicted. Obama beat John McCain among Hispanic voters by 36 points in 2008 from 67 to 31 percent. Pew Hispanic Center poll showed Obama at the end of Romney wins by 45 points among Hispanic voters, 68-23 percent.

Uncompromising rhetoric, Romney and the immigration policy positions may be that a large number of vulnerabilities in the general election. "The Republicans are no better if you are a candidate," Dean said. "But boy, they are in trouble today. This is a disastrous first season for them. Forced the debate Romney also things that are mine to him in the general election if the candidate was saying."

In the past, Dean is critical of the Obama administration, including managing the health care bill. (Subject to the contrary, the White House chief of Rahm Emanuel.) But the year after the last stone, he believes the president is now a solid base. "I think it's great," said Dean. "He hit on all cylinders. It all started with a call for work and never looked back. This is a great fighter and that painting is."

Obama Jobs bill introduced in September last year, the focus away from the rigor of his administration and public sector investment. The Wall Street occupy the movement eventually attracted the attention of people for too long ignored the problem of income inequality, creating the first true progressive populist economic crisis.

The debate now unfolding economic turf is much less Republicans than Democrats. "If Obama is elected, will have a huge debt of Wall Street, where you can never accept the offer," said Dean. "His message is:" The emperor is naked. This is a 99 percent percent. "Americans have the feeling that some time ago, but I can not say or talk to each other in front of AA."

Dean said he understands that many supporters of the party and the AA, the Obama administration, she was disappointed as prisoners after the percentage of financial interests. But he said a boycott of the elections or vote for someone other than Barack Obama, only make things worse.

"I think we need a progressive party in the country," said Dean. "But it is wrong pioneers Obama is crazy. Citizens United never put in order, and the U.S. always sold to the highest bidder, Al Gore, 2000. Obama wins if he wins, then you name one or maybe two of Los Judges of the Court . He can make all the difference. only reason I can not say that there is no difference between the parties. politicians in Washington are not able to do much, but certainly does not hurt. "